Recent AP polling has shown that Black voters support the reelection of President Joe Biden at a surprisingly low level, prompting Republicans to see an opportunity to win over these voters in the upcoming election. This shift in support among Black voters has led to mobilization efforts within the Biden campaign to earn every vote and ensure a successful reelection bid.
Low Support for Biden among Black Voters
Nationally, only 50% of Black adults approve of Biden in a December AP-NORC poll, down from 86% in July 2021. This represents a larger drop than among adults overall and white adults in particular1. In some of the most narrowly divided states that could decide next year’s election, including Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, even minor shifts in turnout could sway the results.
Mobilization Efforts by Biden Campaign
In response to this shift in support, the Biden campaign has rolled out large investments in African American media and other outreach in key swing states. Democratic National Committee Chair Jaime Harrison stated, “We won’t rest until we earn every vote because the stakes are that high”. The campaign aims to address the concerns of Black voters and showcase the accomplishments of the Biden-Harris administration, such as the appointment of Ketanji Brown Jackson as the first Black woman to serve as a U.S. Supreme Court justice.
Republican Efforts to Win Over Black Voters
While there is little evidence that Trump is making significant inroads with Black voters, who polls show remain overwhelmingly supportive of President Joe Biden, even minor changes in voting patterns in critical states could shift the race in unexpected ways. Republicans are fine-tuning their efforts to win over Black voters, but it remains to be seen whether they will be successful in making significant inroads. In conclusion, the low support for Biden among Black voters has prompted mobilization efforts within the Biden campaign to address the concerns of these voters and ensure a successful reelection bid. Republicans see an opportunity to win over Black voters, but it remains to be seen whether they will be successful in making significant inroads.
